Liestal vs Mutschellen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
9º
5º
11
11º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
REG
4 - 4
LIE
9%
13%
78%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LIE
3 - 5
DIE
40%
23%
38%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PRA
0 - 2
LIE
23%
19%
58%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LIE
2 - 1
OLD
35%
22%
43%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCU
2 - 2
LIE
17%
17%
66%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mutschellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MUT
1 - 2
BIN
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MUT
5 - 0
MUT
90%
7%
4%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
5 - 2
BUB
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ZOF
4 - 1
MUT
82%
11%
6%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
0 - 1
RSZ
10%
16%
74%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |