Liestal vs Courgenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 3
LIE
19%
18%
64%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
OLD
5 - 0
LIE
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LIE
3 - 2
BIN
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ALL
1 - 2
LIE
48%
21%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LIE
3 - 3
LER
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Courgenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
FCC
3 - 2
OLD
39%
21%
40%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BIN
1 - 3
FCC
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 1
ALL
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
LER
1 - 1
FCC
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
FCC
1 - 2
MOU
48%
21%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |