Liestal vs Besa Biel/Bienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
15º
13º
62
2º
15º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCP
3 - 0
LIE
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LIE
3 - 2
OLD
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 0
LIE
37%
22%
41%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 3
GUM
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 1
LIE
27%
21%
53%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Besa Biel/Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BBB
2 - 1
BUB
69%
16%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 3
BBB
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCP
4 - 0
BBB
45%
21%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BBB
5 - 3
OLD
37%
21%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 1
BBB
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |