Lienden vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GVV
1 - 1
LIE
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LIE
0 - 2
TIE
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
RIJ
2 - 0
LIE
62%
19%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
KON
1 - 0
LIE
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LIE
3 - 0
DED
46%
23%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 1
RIJ
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HHC
1 - 1
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
KON
0 - 0
EXC
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 0
LIS
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
KOZ
1 - 0
EXC
75%
16%
10%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |