Lienden vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
HBS
2 - 1
LIE
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LIE
2 - 6
HBS
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
EVV
0 - 1
LIE
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LIE
1 - 3
WKE
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
HSC
1 - 1
LIE
62%
19%
19%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LIS
3 - 0
EXC
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
EXC
4 - 0
SCH
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ONS
2 - 3
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
TER
0 - 2
EXC
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 3
HHC
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |