RFC Liège vs SL16 FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
16º
7º
17
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RFC Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SER
0 - 4
LIE
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
OOS
0 - 2
LIE
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
RSC
1 - 1
LIE
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 4
BEE
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 2
ZUL
28%
24%
49%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
STL
1 - 2
FBO
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BEE
2 - 0
STL
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
STL
0 - 1
RSC
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
STL
0 - 4
LOM
21%
26%
54%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PAT
3 - 1
STL
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |