Liefering vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
2 - 0
FEY
24%
21%
55%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
2 - 3
UNT
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 0
WAL
79%
14%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
RIE
4 - 2
FCL
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
7 - 0
GUR
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
STU
2 - 5
WAC
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
STU
4 - 2
MAN
65%
19%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
STU
11 - 2
WEI
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
SKA
3 - 3
STU
65%
19%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SVW
2 - 2
STU
8%
14%
77%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |