Liefering vs St. Johann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
PIN
0 - 2
FCL
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
2 - 0
KUF
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 2
FCL
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SWB
3 - 1
FCL
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
5 - 0
TSV
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STJ
3 - 3
SWB
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TSV
1 - 0
STJ
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
STJ
3 - 4
ANI
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AND
0 - 0
STJ
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
STJ
1 - 1
SVA
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |