Lichterfelder vs Union Fürstenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 2
LIC
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LIC
2 - 2
MAL
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NEU
3 - 0
LIC
81%
14%
5%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
LIC
1 - 4
TOR
10%
19%
70%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
HAN
2 - 1
LIC
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
HAN
23%
23%
53%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
HAN
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
OPT
3 - 0
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
BFC
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
BSC
1 - 2
UNI
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |