Lichterfelder vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
BAK
1 - 0
LIC
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
LIC
1 - 2
GSC
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
OPT
1 - 1
LIC
57%
23%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LIC
0 - 3
MAL
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
3 - 0
LIC
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
BFC
2 - 0
FAL
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
REI
0 - 3
BFC
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BFC
3 - 0
ENE
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BFC
3 - 3
BSC
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BFC
2 - 1
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |