Lichtenberg vs Dynamo Schwerin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
8º
2º
28
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
25% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 2
LIC
12%
18%
70%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
HZE
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TUM
2 - 3
LIC
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
LIC
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
LIC
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Schwerin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
DSC
4 - 2
ANK
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 3
SVS
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
4 - 3
DSC
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DSC
0 - 1
MAH
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 1
DSC
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |