Lichtenberg vs Neustrelitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SCH
3 - 1
LIC
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
LIC
1 - 1
LIC
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
LIC
1 - 1
FFC
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SSV
2 - 1
LIC
25%
24%
50%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LIC
2 - 1
REI
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Neustrelitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
NEU
0 - 3
TUR
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
HER
2 - 0
NEU
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
NEU
5 - 0
BSC
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
BAK
2 - 1
NEU
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
NEU
0 - 0
STA
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |