Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
8º
2º
71
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
25% | 75% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 25% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TUM
2 - 3
LIC
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
LIC
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
LIC
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAB
2 - 0
LIC
50%
23%
28%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LIC
4 - 0
SCS
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha Zehlendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 3
ANK
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 0
OPT
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DSC
2 - 4
HZE
14%
20%
67%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
HZE
4 - 0
TAS
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HZE
2 - 2
SVS
82%
11%
7%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | +1 |