Lichtenberg vs Hansa Rostock II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BAB
4 - 0
LIC
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LIC
1 - 2
OPT
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
REI
1 - 0
LIC
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LIC
0 - 1
SVY
21%
24%
56%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ANK
2 - 1
LIC
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hansa Rostock II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
HAN
4 - 0
TUR
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
BAK
0 - 4
HAN
22%
23%
56%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
HAN
8 - 1
NEU
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ENE
0 - 5
HAN
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
HAN
2 - 0
BFC
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |