Lichtenberg vs Anker Wismar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
8º
2º
36
7º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
25% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
LIC
10%
17%
74%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LIC
2 - 0
DSC
80%
12%
7%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 2
LIC
12%
18%
70%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
HZE
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TUM
2 - 3
LIC
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Anker Wismar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ANK
2 - 2
SVS
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ANK
0 - 3
OPT
55%
21%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
DSC
4 - 2
ANK
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ANK
2 - 0
TAS
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 3
ANK
84%
12%
4%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | +2 |