Ferroviario Lichinga vs ENH Vilankulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviario Lichinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2025 |
LIC
4 - 2
Des
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
FER
1 - 1
LIC
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
LIC
0 - 1
BBM
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
LIC
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LIC
3 - 0
FER
33%
30%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
ENH Vilankulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
VIL
0 - 0
FER
35%
31%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
FER
3 - 1
VIL
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
COS
3 - 1
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
LIC
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TEX
0 - 0
VIL
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |