Liceo de Monelos vs Atlético dos Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
39.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liceo de Monelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VIO
3 - 2
LIC
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LIC
5 - 2
ENC
56%
19%
25%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PCA
4 - 1
LIC
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LIC
1 - 4
ABE
67%
16%
17%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 1
LIC
53%
20%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
CDC
17%
19%
65%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAS
58%
18%
23%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 3
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
VOR
2 - 2
CAS
42%
21%
38%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 5
ONC
67%
17%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |