FC Libourne vs Pau FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
1º
42
3º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCL
39%
24%
38%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
PED
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LEG
0 - 0
FCL
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
NIO
70%
18%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 0
LES
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Pau FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FCP
4 - 1
CHA
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LES
1 - 0
FCP
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FCP
4 - 0
MON
72%
16%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CNF
0 - 0
FCP
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 0
POI
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |