FC Libourne vs Niort II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
1º
38
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 0
LES
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 5
FCL
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FCL
2 - 0
CNF
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GUE
0 - 2
FCL
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
FCL
2 - 0
POI
45%
25%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NIO
5 - 3
CHA
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 0
NIO
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LES
1 - 0
NIO
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NIO
1 - 0
FCP
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
NIO
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +2 |