Libya vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
TOG
2 - 0
LBY
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2001 |
LBY
1 - 1
ANG
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
CMR
1 - 0
LBY
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
ZAM
2 - 0
LBY
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2001 |
LBY
3 - 3
TOG
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
ZAM
2 - 2
CMR
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
LSO
1 - 2
ZAM
9%
20%
71%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
TOG
3 - 2
ZAM
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ANG
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
ZAM
2 - 0
LBY
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |