Libya vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1982 |
LBY
2 - 2
GHA
44%
24%
31%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1982 |
LBY
2 - 0
GUI
49%
22%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
NGA
3 - 0
LBY
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1981 |
LBY
0 - 0
GHA
29%
23%
49%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
LBY
2 - 0
KSA
48%
22%
31%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1982 |
CMR
1 - 1
TUN
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
TUN
0 - 1
ALG
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1981 |
NPL
1 - 4
TUN
30%
24%
47%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
NPL
1 - 2
TUN
30%
24%
47%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
TUN
1 - 1
CMR
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |