Libya vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
LBY
0 - 0
COD
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
JOR
1 - 0
LBY
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
LBY
2 - 0
MTN
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
COD
0 - 0
LBY
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
RWA
0 - 1
LBY
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
TOG
0 - 3
CMR
16%
26%
58%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
EQG
0 - 1
TOG
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CMR
2 - 1
TOG
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BFA
1 - 0
TOG
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
TOG
1 - 1
TUN
12%
21%
67%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |