Libya vs Sao Tome and Principe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
STP
2 - 1
LBY
9%
18%
73%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
EGY
2 - 0
LBY
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
RWA
1 - 3
LBY
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LBY
1 - 0
RWA
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
LBY
0 - 4
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
STP
2 - 1
LBY
9%
18%
73%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 0
STP
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
STP
1 - 0
ETH
11%
17%
72%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
STP
0 - 3
MAR
9%
19%
72%
|
41 | 83 | 42 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
CPV
7 - 1
STP
85%
11%
4%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |