Libya vs Qatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
LBY
1 - 1
UKR
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
LBY
2 - 0
KEN
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2004 |
LBY
2 - 0
KEN
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LBY
8 - 0
STP
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
STP
0 - 1
LBY
13%
20%
67%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
IRN
3 - 1
QAT
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
QAT
2 - 0
BHR
54%
26%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
OMA
2 - 0
QAT
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2004 |
KWT
1 - 2
QAT
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2004 |
QAT
3 - 0
YEM
82%
13%
5%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |