Libya vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
COD
2 - 0
LBY
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
LBY
2 - 3
URU
15%
24%
60%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2008 |
QAT
5 - 2
LBY
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
GAB
1 - 0
LBY
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
LBY
1 - 0
GHA
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
GHA
2 - 2
ZIM
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
EGY
2 - 2
GHA
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
GHA
0 - 0
TUN
43%
29%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 1
GHA
37%
29%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
GHA
3 - 0
LSO
79%
16%
6%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |