Libya vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
LBY
0 - 0
SEN
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
LBY
4 - 0
LSO
69%
19%
11%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
LSO
0 - 1
LBY
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
LBY
1 - 0
GAB
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GHA
3 - 0
LBY
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
CGO
2 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 1
CGO
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 2
MLI
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
CGO
19%
24%
58%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CHA
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |