AFCON Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 0-3
Libya vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
26.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 1
CMR
22%
27%
52%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
TOG
1 - 1
LBY
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
LBY
1 - 0
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 0
RWA
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 1
SEN
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
ALG
4 - 1
GAM
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
MLI
2 - 1
ALG
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ALG
4 - 0
RWA
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ALG
3 - 0
NIG
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 2
ALG
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |