Libya vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CMR
1 - 0
LBY
66%
22%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
JOR
2 - 1
LBY
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
LBY
2 - 0
TOG
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
LBY
0 - 0
COD
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
JOR
1 - 0
LBY
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NIG
2 - 2
CGO
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
GAB
4 - 1
NIG
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
NIG
0 - 1
BFA
29%
27%
45%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BFA
4 - 0
NIG
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
NIG
0 - 3
GHA
12%
21%
67%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |