Libya vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
BEN
1 - 0
LBY
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
KWT
1 - 1
LBY
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ZIM
0 - 0
LBY
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
LBY
1 - 1
GHA
30%
27%
44%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
COD
2 - 0
LBY
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
MLI
3 - 1
MWI
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
MLI
0 - 1
ALG
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
4 - 4
MLI
33%
26%
42%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
1 - 0
MLI
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
QAT
0 - 0
MLI
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |