Libya vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
LBY
2 - 1
TAN
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TUN
4 - 1
LBY
66%
23%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LBY
1 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MTN
0 - 0
LBY
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
LBY
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
EQG
0 - 1
TUN
12%
23%
66%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TAN
2 - 1
EQG
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CGO
1 - 0
EQG
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
EQG
2 - 2
CGO
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
EQG
1 - 0
SSD
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |