Libya vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2008 |
LBY
2 - 2
ZAM
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
UGA
1 - 1
LBY
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
EGY
0 - 0
LBY
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LBY
2 - 1
KSA
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
BHR
2 - 0
LBY
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
ERI
3 - 1
SLE
11%
20%
69%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
OMA
1 - 0
ERI
88%
9%
3%
|
34 | 81 | 47 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SDN
0 - 2
ERI
78%
14%
7%
|
32 | 67 | 35 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2007 |
BDI
2 - 1
ERI
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
ERI
3 - 2
UGA
9%
18%
73%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | +1 |