Libertas vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
11%
20%
69%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
DOM
3 - 1
LIB
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
TPE
1 - 1
LIB
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LIB
3 - 0
MUR
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 1
LIB
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 2
SGI
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
TFI
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
58%
24%
17%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 2
VIR
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 0
VIR
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |