Libertas vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
SGI
0 - 0
LIB
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
3 - 0
DOM
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
TFI
3 - 2
LIB
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LIB
0 - 3
TPE
19%
23%
59%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
TPE
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAI
1 - 2
VIR
45%
24%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
PEN
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
VIR
43%
24%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |