Libertas vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 1
PEN
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 1
DOM
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TPE
0 - 3
LIB
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DOM
2 - 0
VIR
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 1
VIR
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 1
VIR
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 0
COS
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 0
FAE
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |