Libertas vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
TPE
2 - 1
LIB
26%
23%
50%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
TFI
1 - 3
LIB
22%
22%
56%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 1
COS
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MUR
6 - 3
LIB
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
FIO
0 - 2
LIB
8%
17%
75%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 0
VIR
12%
20%
68%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
3 - 1
TPE
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
SGI
1 - 2
VIR
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 3
FAE
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
PEN
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |