Libertas vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
COS
0 - 0
LIB
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
LIB
0 - 2
PEN
52%
23%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
0 - 4
LIB
26%
23%
51%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 2
TPE
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
MUR
3 - 4
LIB
46%
23%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
4 - 0
FOL
50%
23%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
0 - 5
VIR
18%
22%
60%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
0 - 1
CAI
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 3
VIR
17%
22%
60%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
VIR
1 - 2
FAE
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |