Libertas vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
LIB
5 - 1
TFI
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
SGI
3 - 3
LIB
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
JUV
2 - 2
LIB
37%
25%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
LIB
1 - 2
PEN
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
LIB
0 - 0
MUR
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
VIR
7 - 0
FIO
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
VIR
2 - 1
DOM
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
CAI
3 - 2
VIR
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
COS
0 - 2
VIR
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
VIR
2 - 2
TPE
66%
19%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |