Libertas vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
47.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 0
LIB
45%
24%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 1
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
19%
23%
59%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 3
DOM
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 3
LIB
25%
27%
49%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 0
LIB
45%
24%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
TFI
0 - 3
FIO
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TFI
5 - 1
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 2
TFI
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 2
TFI
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |