Libertas vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
LIB
33%
27%
41%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 0
DOM
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 1
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 1
LIB
24%
24%
53%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 3
TPE
26%
23%
52%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SGI
1 - 4
TFI
10%
20%
71%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
TPE
0 - 1
TFI
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TFI
4 - 0
FOL
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FAE
1 - 1
TFI
31%
25%
45%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2010 |
RUD
4 - 1
TFI
42%
25%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |