Libertas vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 2
LIB
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 2
JUV
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 0
TPE
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
FIO
1 - 2
LIB
11%
18%
71%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
LIB
3 - 0
FOL
60%
21%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
TFI
0 - 0
DOM
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
TFI
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
COS
0 - 3
TFI
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
TFI
2 - 0
FIO
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
TFI
3 - 3
FAE
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |