Libertas vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 2
TPE
48%
24%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 4
FAE
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
DOM
6 - 1
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
FIO
2 - 3
LIB
26%
24%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
CAI
2 - 2
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
FOL
2 - 0
TFI
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
TFI
2 - 1
JUV
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
TFI
2 - 5
VIR
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
TFI
1 - 3
COS
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
SGI
2 - 1
TFI
41%
25%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |