Libertas vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
FIO
2 - 3
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
LIB
1 - 1
DOM
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
LIB
4 - 3
MUR
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
LIB
0 - 2
TPE
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
LIB
2 - 0
PEN
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
FAE
2 - 1
TFI
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
TFI
1 - 1
GSD
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
DOM
2 - 2
TFI
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
TFI
1 - 1
FIO
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
COS
1 - 2
TFI
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |