Libertas vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FAE
3 - 1
LIB
25%
24%
52%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 3
TFI
13%
18%
68%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TPE
1 - 1
LIB
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 5
SGI
14%
20%
66%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 0
PEN
79%
14%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
FAE
31%
21%
48%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
FAE
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
9%
19%
72%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |