Libertas vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
TFI
13%
23%
65%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
4 - 1
LIB
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 3
TPE
10%
18%
73%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 3
LIB
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 4
FOL
14%
21%
66%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SGI
9 - 0
PEN
78%
14%
7%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 3
FAE
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
COS
6 - 2
PEN
88%
9%
2%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAI
51%
21%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |