Libertas vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LIB
3 - 1
FIO
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 1
LIB
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 2
TFI
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 0
FOL
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 3
FAE
54%
23%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 3
COS
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 1
TFI
30%
25%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 5
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
SGI
0 - 1
PEN
20%
23%
56%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |