Libertas vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
FOL
0 - 4
LIB
22%
24%
53%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 2
CAI
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
JUV
0 - 2
LIB
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 0
SGI
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
TPE
0 - 1
LIB
28%
24%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SGI
1 - 1
PEN
18%
24%
59%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FIO
0 - 1
PEN
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
PEN
2 - 0
TPE
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
PEN
4 - 1
FOL
80%
13%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
PEN
3 - 2
JUV
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |