Libertas vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
0 - 4
LIB
26%
23%
51%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 2
TPE
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
MUR
3 - 4
LIB
46%
23%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
LIB
2 - 0
TFI
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 2
TPE
48%
24%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
4 - 5
PEN
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
PEN
3 - 2
TFI
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
49%
24%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
COS
0 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
PEN
2 - 0
VIR
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |