Libertas vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
3 - 1
LIB
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 1
COS
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
LIB
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TFI
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
5 - 0
FAE
53%
22%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 1
FAE
53%
23%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
5 - 1
DOM
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 0
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 1
FIO
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |