Libertas vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 3
TPE
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 0
SGI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
TFI
1 - 2
LIB
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
LIB
58%
22%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
FAE
66%
20%
13%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CAI
1 - 2
FOL
16%
23%
62%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
JUV
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
LIB
58%
22%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
19%
24%
56%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |