Libertas vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 3
FAE
54%
23%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
COS
1 - 4
LIB
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CAI
1 - 1
LIB
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 2
SGI
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
TPE
1 - 1
FOL
71%
18%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
JUV
2 - 0
FOL
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 4
FIO
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FAE
0 - 1
FOL
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |